Abstract
Volcanic eruptions are an important natural cause of climate change on many timescales. A new capability to predict the climatic response to a large tropical eruption for the succeeding 2 years will prove valuable to society. In addition, to detect and attribute anthropogenic influences on climate, including effects of greenhouse gases, aerosols, and ozone‐depleting chemicals, it is crucial to quantify the natural fluctuations so as to separate them from anthropogenic fluctuations in the climate record. Studying the responses of climate to volcanic eruptions also helps us to better understand important radiative and dynamical processes that respond in the climate system to both natural and anthropogenic forcings. Furthermore, modeling the effects of volcanic eruptions helps us to improve climate models that are needed to study anthropogenic effects. Large volcanic eruptions inject sulfur gases into the stratosphere, which convert to sulfate aerosols with ane‐folding residence time of about 1 year. Large ash particles fall out much quicker. The radiative and chemical effects of this aerosol cloud produce responses in the climate system. By scattering some solar radiation back to space, the aerosols cool the surface, but by absorbing both solar and terrestrial radiation, the aerosol layer heats the stratosphere. For a tropical eruption this heating is larger in the tropics than in the high latitudes, producing an enhanced pole‐to‐equator temperature gradient, especially in winter. In the Northern Hemisphere winter this enhanced gradient produces a stronger polar vortex, and this stronger jet stream produces a characteristic stationary wave pattern of tropospheric circulation, resulting in winter warming of Northern Hemisphere continents. This indirect advective effect on temperature is stronger than the radiative cooling effect that dominates at lower latitudes and in the summer. The volcanic aerosols also serve as surfaces for heterogeneous chemical reactions that destroy stratospheric ozone, which lowers ultraviolet absorption and reduces the radiative heating in the lower stratosphere, but the net effect is still heating. Because this chemical effect depends on the presence of anthropogenic chlorine, it has only become important in recent decades. For a few days after an eruption the amplitude of the diurnal cycle of surface air temperature is reduced under the cloud. On a much longer timescale, volcanic effects played a large role in interdecadal climate change of the Little Ice Age. There is no perfect index of past volcanism, but more ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica will improve the record. There is no evidence that volcanic eruptions produce El Niño events, but the climatic effects of El Niño and volcanic eruptions must be separated to understand the climatic response to each.
References
171
Referenced
2,020
- Ahn M. H. A new SO2retrieval algorithm using total ozone mapping spectrometer radiance and its applications Ph.D. dissertation 192pp. Dep. of Meteorol. Univ. of Md. College Park 1997.
10.1029/1999JD900165
10.1029/JD093iD04p03697
10.1029/97GL00544
10.1029/96JD03588
{'volume-title': "Volcanics, Stratospheric Aerosol and Earth's Climate", 'year': '1986', 'author': 'Asaturov M. L.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_7_1'}
/ Volcanics, Stratospheric Aerosol and Earth's Climate by Asaturov M. L. (1986)10.1175/1520-0477(1984)065<1170:TERBE>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/97GL01943
10.1029/96GL02088
10.1029/91GL02792
10.1007/BF00139431
10.1175/1520-0469(1976)033<2094:ANEMOH>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/95JD03763
10.1029/1999GL900347
10.1029/GL003i002p00073
10.1023/A:1005471918574
10.1002/joc.3370120406
10.1029/92GL02495
10.1007/BF00049368
- Ellsaesser H. W. Isolating the climatologic effects of volcanoesRep. UCRL‐89161 29Lawrence Livermore Natl. Lab. Livermore Calif. 1983.
10.2307/25010878
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_23_1', 'first-page': '122', 'article-title': 'Meteorological imaginations and conjectures', 'volume': '2', 'author': 'Franklin B.', 'year': '1784', 'journal-title': 'Manchr. Lit. Philos. Soc. Mem. Proc.'}
/ Manchr. Lit. Philos. Soc. Mem. Proc. / Meteorological imaginations and conjectures by Franklin B. (1784)10.1029/1999JD900233
10.1175/1520-0477(1992)073<1962:ATAMIP>2.0.CO;2
10.1038/377507a0
10.1007/BF02423387
10.1038/310038a0
10.1007/BF00210011
10.1007/978-3-642-79869-6_11
10.1029/96JD03265
10.1007/978-3-642-61173-5_14
10.1029/92GL01153
10.3406/quate.1998.2103
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_35_1', 'first-page': '39', 'article-title': 'Regional climate consequences of volcanic eruptions', 'volume': '4', 'author': 'Groisman P. Y.', 'year': '1985', 'journal-title': 'Meteorol. Hydrol.'}
/ Meteorol. Hydrol. / Regional climate consequences of volcanic eruptions by Groisman P. Y. (1985)10.1029/92GL01474
10.1126/science.272.5264.981
10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0577:STPAWT>2.0.CO;2
10.1002/joc.3370060104
10.1126/science.199.4333.1065
10.1029/JD093iD08p09341
10.1029/91GL02788
10.1007/978-3-642-61173-5_20
{'volume-title': '), The Year Without a Summer? World Climate in 1816', 'year': '1992', 'author': 'Harington C. R.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_44_1'}
/ ), The Year Without a Summer? World Climate in 1816 by Harington C. R. (1992)10.1175/1520-0469(1979)036<1274:POTZRB>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/JD093iD05p05365
10.1029/95RG02097
{'volume-title': ')Climate Change 1995‐‐The Science of Climate Change', 'year': '1996', 'author': 'Houghton J. T.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_48_1'}
/ )Climate Change 1995‐‐The Science of Climate Change by Houghton J. T. (1996)-
Humphreys W. J. Volcanic dust and other factors in the production of climatic changes and their possible relation to ice gases 131–172J. Franklin Inst.Aug. 1913.
(
10.1016/S0016-0032(13)91294-1
) {'volume-title': 'Physics of the Air', 'year': '1940', 'author': 'Humphreys W. J.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_50_1'}
/ Physics of the Air by Humphreys W. J. (1940)10.1175/1520-0493(1977)105<0247:ASOTPC>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.269.5224.676
10.1023/A:1005314315270
10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.222.4627.1011
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_56_1', 'series-title': 'NASA Conf. Publ.', 'first-page': '293', 'volume-title': 'Atmospheric Effects and Potential Climatic Impact of the 1980 Eruptions of Mount St. Helens', 'author': 'Kelly P. M.', 'year': '1982'}
/ Atmospheric Effects and Potential Climatic Impact of the 1980 Eruptions of Mount St. Helens / NASA Conf. Publ. by Kelly P. M. (1982)10.1002/j.1477-8696.1998.tb06386.x
10.1029/92GL01937
10.1007/BF00215736
10.1029/1999JD900213
10.1029/96GL00158
10.1029/93JD02731
10.1029/91GL01610
10.2151/jmsj1965.74.3_365
- Kondratyev K. Y. Volcanoes and climateWCP‐54 WMO/ TD‐166 103World Meteorol. Org. Geneva 1988.
{'volume-title': 'Volcanic Activity and Climate', 'year': '1997', 'author': 'Kondratyev K. Y.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_66_1'}
/ Volcanic Activity and Climate by Kondratyev K. Y. (1997)10.1029/96JD00221
10.1016/0021-9169(88)90068-2
10.1098/rsta.1970.0010
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_70_1', 'first-page': '57', 'article-title': 'Supplementary volcanic dust veil index assessments', 'volume': '6', 'author': 'Lamb H. H.', 'year': '1977', 'journal-title': 'Clim. Monit.'}
/ Clim. Monit. / Supplementary volcanic dust veil index assessments by Lamb H. H. (1977){'key': 'e_1_2_1_71_1', 'first-page': '79', 'article-title': 'Update of the chronology of assessments of the volcanic dust veil index', 'volume': '12', 'author': 'Lamb H. H.', 'year': '1983', 'journal-title': 'Clim. Monit.'}
/ Clim. Monit. / Update of the chronology of assessments of the volcanic dust veil index by Lamb H. H. (1983)- Li X. S. A.Berger Simulating climatic impact of the Toba eruption with the LLN 2‐D climate modelSci. Rep. 1997/14Inst. d'Astron. et de Geophys. G. Lemaitre Univ. Cath. de Louvain Louvain‐la‐Neuve Belgium 1997.
10.1007/BF00143903
10.1016/0377-0273(84)90057-X
10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1984.23.3.1159
/ Geofis. Int. / Preliminary estimate of the radiative and climatic effects of the El Chichon eruption by MacCracken M. C. (1984)10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<1538:SATSBA>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.281.5383.1656
10.1175/1520-0442(1989)002<0566:MVEACA>2.0.CO;2
10.1175/1520-0493(1982)110<0614:TSTIOT>2.0.CO;2
10.2151/jmsj1965.60.1_37
10.1038/271735a0
10.1126/science.259.5100.1411
10.1111/j.1749-6632.1961.tb50036.x
10.1007/978-94-010-3290-2_15
10.1175/1520-0469(1990)047<1933:SIAACA>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/JC087iC02p01231
10.1002/joc.3370080109
10.1175/1520-0450(1976)015<0933:OTROHM>2.0.CO;2
10.1038/301406a0
10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0781:TGIPFS>2.3.CO;2
10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<2281:TSCBTA>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/JD094iD08p11165
10.1029/JC081i006p01071
10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<1719:GSOVAF>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/JC088iC11p06773
10.1038/382616a0
10.1038/310677a0
10.1038/359050a0
10.1126/science.206.4420.826
10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0189:CCATMA>2.0.CO;2
10.1175/1520-0469(1978)035<1111:IAECCC>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.206.4425.1402
10.1126/science.212.4501.1383
10.1016/0377-0273(81)90076-7
10.1038/301373a0
10.1175/1520-0469(1983)040<0986:IASFAT>2.0.CO;2
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_107_1', 'first-page': '5', 'article-title': 'Review of Volcano Weather: The Story of 1816, the Year Without a Summer', 'volume': '9', 'author': 'Robock A.', 'year': '1984', 'journal-title': 'Natl. Weather Dig.'}
/ Natl. Weather Dig. / Review of Volcano Weather: The Story of 1816, the Year Without a Summer by Robock A. (1984)10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1984.23.3.1160
/ Geofis. Int. / Climate model simulations of the effects of the El Chichón eruption by Robock A. (1984)10.1038/310667a0
10.1007/978-94-009-2446-8_16
10.1016/B978-0-444-88351-3.50034-9
10.1007/BF01094011
10.1126/science.272.5264.972
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_114_1', 'first-page': '534', 'volume-title': 'Encyclopedia of Weather and Climate', 'author': 'Robock A.', 'year': '1996'}
/ Encyclopedia of Weather and Climate by Robock A. (1996)10.1029/95JD00825
10.1007/978-3-642-61113-1_25
10.1175/1520-0442(1994)007<0044:TVSIGI>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/92GL02627
10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1086:TVSIST>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.216.4546.628
10.1126/science.221.4606.195
10.1029/95GL02065
- Roeckner E. K.Arpe L.Bengtsson M.Christoph M.Claussen L.Duemenil M.Ecsh M.Giogetta U.Schlese U.Schulzweida The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present‐day climate Rep. 218 90Max‐Planck‐Inst. für Meteorol. Hamburg Germany 1996.
10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<2161:AEOTTS>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/96JD03820
10.1029/96JD01162
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_127_1', 'first-page': '65', 'article-title': 'Beitrage zur Geographie der tatingen Vulkane', 'volume': '3', 'author': 'Sapper K.', 'year': '1917', 'journal-title': 'Z. Vulkanol.'}
/ Z. Vulkanol. / Beitrage zur Geographie der tatingen Vulkane by Sapper K. (1917){'volume-title': 'Vulkankunde', 'year': '1927', 'author': 'Sapper K.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_128_1'}
/ Vulkankunde by Sapper K. (1927)10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<0097:TDFIIJ>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/93JD02553
10.1029/GL011i004p00303
10.1126/science.190.4216.741
10.1029/97GL01127
{'volume-title': 'Frankenstein', 'year': '1818', 'author': 'Shelley M.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_134_1'}
/ Frankenstein by Shelley M. (1818)10.1126/science.284.5412.305
{'volume-title': 'Volcanism and climate change, special report', 'year': '1992', 'author': 'Simarski L. T.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_136_1'}
/ Volcanism and climate change, special report by Simarski L. T. (1992){'volume-title': 'Krakatau 1883: The Volcanic Eruption and Its Effects', 'year': '1983', 'author': 'Simkin T.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_137_1'}
/ Krakatau 1883: The Volcanic Eruption and Its Effects by Simkin T. (1983){'volume-title': 'Volcanoes of the World', 'year': '1994', 'author': 'Simkin T.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_138_1'}
/ Volcanoes of the World by Simkin T. (1994){'volume-title': 'Volcanoes of the World', 'year': '1981', 'author': 'Simkin T.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_139_1'}
/ Volcanoes of the World by Simkin T. (1981)10.1029/1999RG900008
10.1029/95JD03353
10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<1111:GATMWS>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/98JD00693
{'volume-title': 'Volcano Weather: The Story of 1816, the Year Without a Summer', 'year': '1983', 'author': 'Stommel H.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_144_1'}
/ Volcano Weather: The Story of 1816, the Year Without a Summer by Stommel H. (1983)10.1126/science.224.4654.1191
10.1029/91GL02958
10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1984.23.2.834
/ Geofis. Int. / Monitoring El Chichón aerosol distribution using NOAA‐7 satellite AVHRR sea surface temperature observations by Strong A. E. (1984){'issue': '44', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_148_1', 'first-page': '880', 'article-title': 'The effect of El Chichón on the 82/83 El Niño (abstract)', 'volume': '67', 'author': 'Strong A. E.', 'year': '1986', 'journal-title': 'Eos Trans. AGU'}
/ Eos Trans. AGU / The effect of El Chichón on the 82/83 El Niño (abstract) by Strong A. E. (1986){'volume-title': 'The Eruption of Krakatoa, and Subsequent Phenomena', 'year': '1888', 'author': 'Symons G. J.', 'key': 'e_1_2_1_149_1'}
/ The Eruption of Krakatoa, and Subsequent Phenomena by Symons G. J. (1888)10.1126/science.260.5111.1082
10.1029/98GL00950
10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1000:AMITEC>2.0.CO;2
10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1018:AMITEC>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/95GL03057
10.1029/96JD00403
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_156_1', 'series-title': 'NASA Conf. Publ.', 'first-page': '15', 'volume-title': 'Atmospheric Effects and Potential Climatic Impact of the 1980 Eruptions of Mount St. Helens', 'author': 'Toon O. B.', 'year': '1982'}
/ Atmospheric Effects and Potential Climatic Impact of the 1980 Eruptions of Mount St. Helens / NASA Conf. Publ. by Toon O. B. (1982){'key': 'e_1_2_1_157_1', 'first-page': '268', 'article-title': 'Atmospheric aerosols and climate', 'volume': '68', 'author': 'Toon O. B.', 'year': '1980', 'journal-title': 'Am. Sci.'}
/ Am. Sci. / Atmospheric aerosols and climate by Toon O. B. (1980)10.1038/355626a0
10.1029/93JD01362
10.1126/science.222.4630.1283
10.1126/science.11538069
10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<0827:ABTLYS>2.0.CO;2
10.1029/96GL01736
10.1038/359047a0
10.22201/igeof.00167169p.1984.23.3.1162
/ Geofis. Int. / The possible effects of the El Chichon eruption on atmospheric thermal and chemical structure and surface climate by Vupputuri R. K. R. (1984)10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0784:TITGHF>2.0.CO;2
10.1126/science.270.5237.780
10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0249:IOITIN>2.0.CO;2
/ J. Clim. / Interpretation of interdecadal trends in Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature by Wallace J. M. (1996)10.1029/93GL03376
10.1029/94JD02142
10.1029/94JD03325
10.1029/96GL00706
Dates
Type | When |
---|---|
Created | 22 years, 11 months ago (Sept. 17, 2002, 6:12 p.m.) |
Deposited | 8 months, 2 weeks ago (Dec. 7, 2024, 4:45 a.m.) |
Indexed | 4 hours, 10 minutes ago (Aug. 23, 2025, 12:58 a.m.) |
Issued | 25 years, 3 months ago (May 1, 2000) |
Published | 25 years, 3 months ago (May 1, 2000) |
Published Online | 25 years, 3 months ago (May 1, 2000) |
Published Print | 25 years, 3 months ago (May 1, 2000) |
@article{Robock_2000, title={Volcanic eruptions and climate}, volume={38}, ISSN={1944-9208}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/1998rg000054}, DOI={10.1029/1998rg000054}, number={2}, journal={Reviews of Geophysics}, publisher={American Geophysical Union (AGU)}, author={Robock, Alan}, year={2000}, month=may, pages={191–219} }