DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(96)07492-2. Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990

Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990–2020: Global Burden of Disease Study

10.1016/s0140-6736(96)07492-2

Crossref journal-article

Elsevier BV

The Lancet (78)

Bibliography

Murray, C. J., & Lopez, A. D. (1997). Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990â2020: Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet, 349(9064), 1498â1504.

Authors 2

Christopher JL Murray (first)
Alan D Lopez (additional)

References 26 Referenced 4,559

{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib1', 'first-page': '189', 'article-title': 'Health care: thinking ahead', 'volume': '15', 'author': 'Bezold', 'year': '1994', 'journal-title': 'World Health Forum'} / World Health Forum / Health care: thinking ahead by Bezold (1994)
10.1016/0016-3287(93)90136-H / Futures / A way through the maze: what futurists do and how they do it by Garrett (1993)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib3', 'series-title': 'Health futures in support of health for all: report of an international consultation convened by the World Health Organization, Geneva, 19–23 July, 1993', 'author': 'Taket', 'year': '1993'} / Health futures in support of health for all: report of an international consultation convened by the World Health Organization, Geneva, 19–23 July, 1993 by Taket (1993)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib4', 'series-title': 'Public health status and forecasts: the health status of the Dutch population over the period 1950–2010', 'author': 'Ruwaard', 'year': '1994'} / Public health status and forecasts: the health status of the Dutch population over the period 1950–2010 by Ruwaard (1994)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib5', 'series-title': 'The Global Burden of Disease: a comprehensive assessment of mortality and disability from diseases, injuries, and risk factors in 1990 and projected to 2020', 'year': '1996'} / The Global Burden of Disease: a comprehensive assessment of mortality and disability from diseases, injuries, and risk factors in 1990 and projected to 2020 (1996)
10.2307/2937941 / Q J Economics / The Penn World Tables (Mark 50): an expanded set of international comparisons 1950–1988 by Summers (1991)
10.1016/0277-9536(88)90201-8 / Soc Sci Med / Maternal education and child survival in developing countries by Cleland (1988)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib8', 'first-page': '5', 'article-title': 'Education as a factor in mortality decline: an examination of Nigerian data', 'volume': '41', 'author': 'Caldwell', 'year': '1979', 'journal-title': 'Popul Stud'} / Popul Stud / Education as a factor in mortality decline: an examination of Nigerian data by Caldwell (1979)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib9', 'series-title': 'Economic growth in a cross-section of countries: NBER working paper', 'author': 'Barro', 'year': '1993'} / Economic growth in a cross-section of countries: NBER working paper by Barro (1993)
10.1016/0140-6736(92)91600-D / Lancet / Mortality from tobacco in developed countries: indirect estimation of national vital statistics by Peto (1992)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib11', 'series-title': 'An econometric model for forecasting age-and cause-specific mortality rates', 'author': 'Acharya', 'year': '1996'} / An econometric model for forecasting age-and cause-specific mortality rates by Acharya (1996)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib12', 'series-title': 'Mortality patterns in national populations', 'author': 'Preston', 'year': '1976'} / Mortality patterns in national populations by Preston (1976)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib13', 'series-title': 'The epidemiological transition: policy and planning implications for developing countries, workshop proceedings', 'article-title': 'Mortality by cause 1970–2015', 'author': 'Bulutao', 'year': '1993'} / The epidemiological transition: policy and planning implications for developing countries, workshop proceedings / Mortality by cause 1970–2015 by Bulutao (1993)
10.1038/333514a0 / Nature / Epidemological parameters of HIV transmission by Anderson (1988)
10.1038/352581a0 / Nature / The spread of HIV-1 in Africa: sexual contact patterns and the predicted demographic impact of AIDS by Anderson (1991)
10.1038/363393a0 / Nature / AIDS: trends, predictions, controversy by Anderson (1993)
10.1002/sim.4780080105 / Stat Med / Statistical methods for short-term projections of AIDS incidence by Brookmeyer (1989)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib18', 'first-page': '542', 'article-title': 'The projected incidence of AIDS and estimated prevalence of HIV infection in the United States', 'volume': '1', 'author': 'Karon', 'year': '1988', 'journal-title': 'AIDS'} / AIDS / The projected incidence of AIDS and estimated prevalence of HIV infection in the United States by Karon (1988)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib19', 'first-page': '399', 'article-title': 'Estimation and projection of adult AIDS cases: a simple epidemiological model', 'volume': '69', 'author': 'Chin', 'year': '1991', 'journal-title': 'Bull World Health Organ'} / Bull World Health Organ / Estimation and projection of adult AIDS cases: a simple epidemiological model by Chin (1991)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib20', 'first-page': '220', 'article-title': 'The global epidemiology of the HIV/AIDS pandemic and its projected demographic impact in Africa', 'volume': '45', 'author': 'Chin', 'year': '1992', 'journal-title': 'World Health Stat Q'} / World Health Stat Q / The global epidemiology of the HIV/AIDS pandemic and its projected demographic impact in Africa by Chin (1992)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib21', 'series-title': 'Health dimensions of sex and reproduction: the global burden of sexually transmitted diseases, HIV, maternal conditions, perinatal disorders, and congenital anomalies', 'article-title': 'HIV', 'author': 'Low-Beer', 'year': '1996'} / Health dimensions of sex and reproduction: the global burden of sexually transmitted diseases, HIV, maternal conditions, perinatal disorders, and congenital anomalies / HIV by Low-Beer (1996)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib22', 'series-title': 'The mathematical theory of epidemics', 'author': 'Bailey', 'year': '1957'} / The mathematical theory of epidemics by Bailey (1957)
10.1038/333514a0 / Nature / Epidemiological parameters of HIV transmission by Anderson (1988)
{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib24', 'series-title': 'The global epidemiology of infectious diseases', 'article-title': 'Tuberculosis', 'author': 'Kumaresan', 'year': '1996'} / The global epidemiology of infectious diseases / Tuberculosis by Kumaresan (1996)
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{'key': '10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2_bib26', 'series-title': 'Tendances recentes de la mortalité par cause en Russie 1965–1994', 'author': 'Mesle', 'year': '1996'} / Tendances recentes de la mortalité par cause en Russie 1965–1994 by Mesle (1996)

Dates

Type	When
Created	23 years, 1 month ago (July 25, 2002, 8:46 p.m.)
Deposited	6 years, 4 months ago (April 16, 2019, 9:54 a.m.)
Indexed	14 hours, 6 minutes ago (Sept. 3, 2025, 5:56 a.m.)
Issued	28 years, 4 months ago (May 1, 1997)
Published	28 years, 4 months ago (May 1, 1997)
Published Print	28 years, 4 months ago (May 1, 1997)

Funders 0

None

BibTeX

@article{Murray_1997, title={Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990–2020: Global Burden of Disease Study}, volume={349}, ISSN={0140-6736}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(96)07492-2}, DOI={10.1016/s0140-6736(96)07492-2}, number={9064}, journal={The Lancet}, publisher={Elsevier BV}, author={Murray, Christopher JL and Lopez, Alan D}, year={1997}, month=may, pages={1498–1504} }

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