Crossref journal-article
Wiley
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (311)
Abstract

AbstractEnsemble integrations for 14 cases are described. These integrations test the relative impact of increase in ensemble size and in the resolution of the model used to integrate the ensemble. The ensembles are evaluated using a variety of statistical tests. Some of these indicate a relative advantage of an increase in ensemble size, whilst most tests suggest a relative advantage of an increase in model resolution. However, overall, the best performance was obtained by combining enhancement in model resolution (from T63L19 to T106L31) with an increase in ensemble size (from 32 to 50 members).

Bibliography

Buizza, R., Petroliagis, T., Palmer, T., Barkmeijer, J., Hamrud, M., Hollingsworth, A., Simmons, A., & Wedi, N. (1998). Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an Ensemble Prediction System. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 124(550), 1935–1960. Portico.

Authors 8
  1. R. Buizza (first)
  2. T. Petroliagis (additional)
  3. T. Palmer (additional)
  4. J. Barkmeijer (additional)
  5. M. Hamrud (additional)
  6. A. Hollingsworth (additional)
  7. A. Simmons (additional)
  8. N. Wedi (additional)
References 34 Referenced 86
  1. 10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:VOFEIT>2.0.CO;2
  2. 10.1002/qj.49712454916
  3. 10.1002/qj.49712051609
  4. 10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<0099:PFSOEP>2.0.CO;2 / Mon. Weather Rev. / Potential forecast skill of ensemble prediction, and spread and skill distributions of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (1997)
  5. {'key': 'e_1_2_1_6_1', 'first-page': '6', 'article-title': 'Linear time evolution of T21, T42 and T63 singular vectors', 'volume': '55', 'year': '1998', 'journal-title': 'J. Atmos. Sci.'} / J. Atmos. Sci. / Linear time evolution of T21, T42 and T63 singular vectors (1998)
  6. 10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<1434:TSVSOT>2.0.CO;2 / J. Atmos. Sci. / The singular vector structure of the atmospheric general circulation by Buizza R. (1995)
  7. {'key': 'e_1_2_1_8_1', 'volume-title': 'Singular vectors, norms and large‐scale condensation', 'author': 'Buizza R.', 'year': '1996'} / Singular vectors, norms and large‐scale condensation by Buizza R. (1996)
  8. Courtier P. Freyder C. Geleyn J. F. Rabier F.andRochas M.1991‘The Arpege project at Météo France’. Proceedings of the ECMWF seminar on ‘Numerical methods in atmospheric models’. 9–13 September 1991 Vol. 2. ECMWF Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX UK
  9. 10.1111/j.2153-3490.1969.tb00483.x
  10. 10.1175/1520-0450(1969)008<0985:ASSFPF>2.0.CO;2
  11. 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<0703:TLEAIP>2.0.CO;2
  12. {'key': 'e_1_2_1_13_1', 'volume-title': 'Big Sky', 'author': 'Errico E. R.', 'year': '1995'} / Big Sky by Errico E. R. (1995)
  13. 10.1175/1520-0493(1971)099<0851:OSDP>2.3.CO;2
  14. 10.1175/1520-0493(1971)099<0927:OSDP>2.3.CO;2
  15. 10.1175/1520-0450(1970)009<0333:SDP>2.0.CO;2
  16. Harrison M. S. J. Richardson D. S. Robertson K.andWoodcock A.1995‘Medium‐range ensembles using both the ECMWF T63 and unified models—An initial report’. Technical Report No. 153 Forecasting Research Division Meteorological Office. London Road Bracknell Berkshire RG12 2SZ UK
  17. 10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<3885:SVTEOS>2.0.CO;2 / J. Atmos. Sci. / Singular vectors: the effect of spatial scale on linear growth of disturbances by Hartmann D. L. (1995)
  18. 10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<1225:ASSATE>2.0.CO;2
  19. Jacob C.1994‘The impact of the new cloud scheme on ECMWF's Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)’. Proceedings of the ECMWF workshop on ‘Modelling validation and assimilation of clouds’ 31 October‐4 November 1994. ECMWF Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX UK
  20. 10.1175/1520-0493(1974)102<0409:TSOMCF>2.0.CO;2
  21. 10.1002/qj.49712353704
  22. {'key': 'e_1_2_1_23_1', 'first-page': '291', 'article-title': 'A model for assessment of weather forecasts', 'volume': '30', 'author': 'Mason I.', 'year': '1982', 'journal-title': 'Aust. Meteorol. Mag.'} / Aust. Meteorol. Mag. / A model for assessment of weather forecasts by Mason I. (1982)
  23. 10.1002/qj.49712252905
  24. Palmer T. N. Molteni F. Mureau R.andBuizza R.1993‘Ensemble prediction’. ECMWF seminar proceedings on ‘Validation of models over Europe: Vol. 1’. ECMWF Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX UK
  25. 10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<0633:SVMAAO>2.0.CO;2
  26. 10.1017/S1350482797000297
  27. 10.1007/BF01027467
  28. Stanski H. R. Wilson L. J.andBurrows W. R.1989‘Survey of common verification methods in meteorology’. Research Report No. 89–5 Atmospheric Environment Service Forecast Research Division 4905 Dufferin Street Downsview Ontario Canada M3H 5T4
  29. {'key': 'e_1_2_1_30_1', 'volume-title': 'Introduction to applied mathematics', 'author': 'Strang G.', 'year': '1986'} / Introduction to applied mathematics by Strang G. (1986)
  30. 10.1002/qj.49711649404
  31. 10.1175/1520-0493(1993)121<3040:ROCILS>2.0.CO;2
  32. Toth Z. Kalnay E. Tracton S. Wobus R.andIrwin J.1996‘A synoptic evaluation of the NCEP ensemble’. Proceedings of the Fifth workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems 13–17 November 1995 European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park Reading RG2 9AX UK
  33. 10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0379:OEPATN>2.0.CO;2
  34. 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<2716:AILSPS>2.0.CO;2
Dates
Type When
Created 18 years, 7 months ago (Feb. 3, 2007, 12:11 a.m.)
Deposited 1 year, 11 months ago (Oct. 7, 2023, 3:04 a.m.)
Indexed 4 months, 2 weeks ago (April 20, 2025, 12:30 a.m.)
Issued 27 years, 2 months ago (July 1, 1998)
Published 27 years, 2 months ago (July 1, 1998)
Published Online 18 years, 8 months ago (Dec. 15, 2006)
Published Print 27 years, 2 months ago (July 1, 1998)
Funders 0

None

@article{Buizza_1998, title={Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an Ensemble Prediction System}, volume={124}, ISSN={1477-870X}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712455008}, DOI={10.1002/qj.49712455008}, number={550}, journal={Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, publisher={Wiley}, author={Buizza, R. and Petroliagis, T. and Palmer, T. and Barkmeijer, J. and Hamrud, M. and Hollingsworth, A. and Simmons, A. and Wedi, N.}, year={1998}, month=jul, pages={1935–1960} }