Abstract
AbstractSimple direct smoothing formulas are derived for updating coefficient estimates and forecasts in a discounted least squares model. These formulas are the natural extensions of R. G. Brown's well‐known smoothing formulas to a general econometric setting with arbitrary explanatory time series. The recursive updating process and its forecast error properties are illustrated via a simple, yet realistic numerical example.
References
7
Referenced
4
{'key': 'e_1_2_1_2_2', 'volume-title': 'Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series', 'author': 'Brown R. G.', 'year': '1962'}
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/ Econometric Methods by Johnston J. (1972){'key': 'e_1_2_1_4_2', 'volume-title': 'Forecasting and Time Series Analysis', 'author': 'Montgomery D. C.', 'year': '1976'}
/ Forecasting and Time Series Analysis by Montgomery D. C. (1976)10.2307/2284249
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{'key': 'e_1_2_1_7_2', 'volume-title': 'Principles of Econometrics', 'author': 'Theil H.', 'year': '1971'}
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Dates
Type | When |
---|---|
Created | 18 years, 3 months ago (May 10, 2007, 8:02 a.m.) |
Deposited | 1 year, 10 months ago (Oct. 18, 2023, 3:43 p.m.) |
Indexed | 4 months ago (May 5, 2025, 8:11 p.m.) |
Issued | 43 years, 3 months ago (June 1, 1982) |
Published | 43 years, 3 months ago (June 1, 1982) |
Published Online | 18 years, 9 months ago (Nov. 21, 2006) |
Published Print | 43 years, 3 months ago (June 1, 1982) |
@article{Agnew_1982, title={Econometric forecasting via discounted least squares}, volume={29}, ISSN={1931-9193}, url={http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800290210}, DOI={10.1002/nav.3800290210}, number={2}, journal={Naval Research Logistics Quarterly}, publisher={Wiley}, author={Agnew, Robert A.}, year={1982}, month=jun, pages={291–302} }